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Managing Supply Chain Risk |
3 |
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Preface |
6 |
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Foreword |
8 |
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Endorsements |
9 |
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Acknowledgements |
11 |
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Contents |
12 |
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Part I Introduction—Identifying, Assessing, Mitigating and Responding to Supply Chain Risk |
18 |
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Supply Chain Risk Management |
19 |
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Introduction |
19 |
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This Book |
20 |
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The Supply Chain Management Context |
22 |
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The Need for Supply Chain Risk Management |
23 |
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Apprehension without Action |
23 |
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Robust Strategies for Supply Chain Management |
24 |
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Disciplinary Roots of Supply Chain Risk Management |
26 |
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Risk Identification |
28 |
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Introduction |
28 |
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A Conceptual View of Risk for Identification and Categorization |
30 |
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A Butterfly Depiction of Supply Chain Risk |
30 |
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Delays and Disruptions: ``Normal'' and ``Abnormal'' Risks |
33 |
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Local-and-Global Drivers and Local-and-Global Consequences |
35 |
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Risk Categorization Motivated by the Supply Chain Organization |
37 |
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Supply Risks |
38 |
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Process Risks |
39 |
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Demand Risks |
41 |
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Corporate-Level Risks |
43 |
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Summary |
47 |
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Risk Assessment |
48 |
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Introduction |
48 |
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What Risks to Assess |
49 |
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How to Assess Risks |
50 |
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Example of a Cross-Company Survey: What Risks and How to Assess |
52 |
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Our Sample |
52 |
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What Risks Were Assessed |
53 |
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How We Assessed These Risks |
55 |
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Discussion |
62 |
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Summary |
64 |
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Mitigating Risks |
65 |
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Introduction |
65 |
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Risk Mitigation Strategies |
67 |
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Building Reserves for Redundancy |
68 |
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Tailoring Risk Management for any Given Company |
71 |
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Conclusion |
77 |
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Response as a Mitigation Approach |
78 |
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Introduction |
78 |
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Examples of Disruptions and Their Impacts |
78 |
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Dealing with Disruptions |
79 |
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Time-Based Risk Management |
80 |
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The 3-D Framework: Detect, Design, and Deploy |
81 |
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Response Time and Impact |
83 |
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Modeling Disruption Impact over Time |
84 |
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Time-Based Risk Management in Practice |
85 |
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Risk and Reward Considerations |
87 |
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Conclusion |
89 |
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How do Global Manufacturing Companies Mitigate Supply Chain Risks |
90 |
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Introduction |
90 |
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Literature Review |
91 |
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Motivation |
92 |
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Methodology |
93 |
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Samsung Electronics |
95 |
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Conclusions |
102 |
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Part II Mitigation Approaches and Applications |
105 |
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Strategic Approaches for Mitigating Supply Chain Risks |
106 |
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Introduction |
106 |
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Robust Supply Chain Strategies |
108 |
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Conclusion |
118 |
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Tactical Approaches for Mitigating Supply Chain Risks: Financial and Operational Hedging |
120 |
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Introduction |
120 |
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Different Types of Financial Risks |
121 |
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Risks Associated with Input Material Costs |
121 |
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Risks Associated with Labor Costs |
122 |
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Risks Associated with Foreign Currency Exchange |
123 |
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Risks Associated with Supplier Defaults |
124 |
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Financial Instruments for Managing Input Material Cost and Foreign Exchange Risks |
125 |
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Financial Instruments for Reducing Supplier Default Risks |
131 |
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Operational Planning for Managing Cost Risks and Supplier Default Risks |
135 |
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Capability for In-Season Replenishment |
137 |
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Flexibility for Switching Sourcing Locations |
139 |
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Integrated Financial and Operational Hedging |
140 |
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Conclusions |
143 |
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Application—Scenario Planning for Mitigating Supply Chain Restructuring Risk at a PVC Manufacturer |
145 |
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Introduction |
145 |
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One Company's Story: Restructuring A Post-Acquisition Supply Chain |
146 |
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The Planning Spectrum |
146 |
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Planning Processes and Optimization |
147 |
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Use of Optimization for Strategic Supply-Chain Planning |
149 |
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The Need for a Combined Process |
149 |
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Scenarios and Scenario Planning |
150 |
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Middle Ground |
153 |
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Conclusion |
155 |
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Application—Mitigating Outsourcing-Related Risks |
156 |
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Introduction |
156 |
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Risk 1: Underestimating the Strategic Value of Procurement |
158 |
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Risk 2: Underestimating the Strategic Value of Outsourcing |
159 |
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Risk 3: Poor Understanding of Internal Capability and Cost Structure |
161 |
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Risk 4: Outsourcing the Wrong Thing |
162 |
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Risk 5: Underestimating the Importance of Incentive Alignment |
164 |
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Risk 6: Outsourcing Operations without Considering the Supply Chain |
165 |
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Risk 7: Outsourcing without the Right Contracts |
166 |
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Risk 8: Not Being Prepared for Supply Disruptions |
167 |
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Conclusion |
168 |
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Application: Mitigating New Product Development Risks—The Case of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner |
169 |
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Introduction |
169 |
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The 787 Dreamliner's Unconventional Supply Chain |
173 |
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The Dreamliner's Supply Chain Risks |
177 |
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What Boeing Did to Mitigate Risk |
180 |
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What Might Boeing Have Done Differently to Mitigate Risk |
183 |
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Conclusion |
186 |
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Application: Managing Product Recalls—the Case of Mattel, Inc. |
188 |
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Introduction |
188 |
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Underlying Causes of Mattel's Product Recalls |
190 |
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Mattel's Product Recall Management Process |
191 |
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Challenges Pertaining to Product Recalls |
195 |
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Opportunities Associated with Product Recalls |
197 |
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Conclusion |
198 |
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Part III Review of Quantitative Models for Managing Supply Chain Risk |
199 |
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Risk Models for Supply Chain Management |
200 |
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Introduction |
200 |
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Supply Management |
202 |
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Supply Network Design |
202 |
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Supplier Relationships |
204 |
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Supplier Selection Process |
204 |
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Supplier Order Allocation |
207 |
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Supply Contracts |
211 |
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Robust Supply Management Strategies |
216 |
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Demand Management |
217 |
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Shifting Demand Across Time |
219 |
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Shifting Demand Across Markets |
222 |
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Shifting Demand Across Products |
223 |
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Robust Demand Management Strategies |
225 |
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Product Management |
226 |
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Postponement |
228 |
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Process Sequencing |
231 |
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Robust Product Management Strategies |
233 |
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Information Management |
233 |
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Information Management Strategies for Managing Fashion Products |
234 |
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Information Management Strategies for Managing Functional Products |
235 |
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Robust Information Management Strategies |
241 |
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Managerial Attitudes |
242 |
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Conclusions |
244 |
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Modeling the Value of Flexibility |
246 |
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Introduction |
246 |
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Supply-Cost Risk and the Value of Flexibility via Multiple Suppliers |
247 |
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Supply-Commitment Risk: the Value of Flexibility via Flexible Supply Contracts |
249 |
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Uniformly Distributed Market Shocks |
250 |
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General Market Shocks |
251 |
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Process risk: the Value of Flexibility via Flexible Manufacturing |
253 |
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(Discrete) Uniformly Distributed Plant Capacity |
254 |
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Normally Distributed Plant Capacity |
255 |
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Demand Risk: the Value of Flexibility via Postponement |
257 |
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Demand Risk: the Value of Flexibility via Responsive Pricing |
258 |
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Conclusions |
262 |
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Stochastic Programming for Supply Chain Planning Under Demand Uncertainty |
264 |
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Introduction |
264 |
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Motivation |
265 |
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A Stochastic Program for Supply-Chain Planning |
268 |
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A Stochastic Program for Asset Liability Management |
268 |
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A Stochastic Program for Supply Chain Planning |
269 |
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Comparison of SCP Model with the ALM Model |
273 |
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Demand-Scenario Generation: An Example |
274 |
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Risk Measures Consideration |
274 |
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Modeling Choices |
275 |
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Representation of Uncertainty |
275 |
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Decision variables |
276 |
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Time Periods and the Decision Horizon |
276 |
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Objective function |
277 |
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Constraints |
278 |
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Solution-Technique Choices |
278 |
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Decomposition |
279 |
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Aggregation |
280 |
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Sampling Scenarios |
281 |
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Conclusion |
281 |
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Part IV Perspectives and Topics for Future Research |
283 |
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Researchers' Perspectives on Supply-Chain Risk Research |
284 |
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Introduction |
284 |
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Growing Interest in Supply Chain Risk |
286 |
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Motivation for This Study |
288 |
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Methodology |
288 |
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Step 1 Findings: Diversity in Scope and Research Tools |
289 |
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Step 2 Findings: A Closer Look at the Definition Gap |
295 |
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Step 3 Findings: Three Gaps |
296 |
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Addressing the Gaps |
299 |
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Closing the Definition Gap |
299 |
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Closing the Process Gap |
301 |
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Closing the Methodology Gap |
302 |
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Conclusion |
304 |
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Conclusion and Future Research |
305 |
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Introduction |
305 |
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Identifying and Assessing Supply Chain Risk |
306 |
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Mitigating and Responding to Supply Chain Risk |
307 |
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The Nature of the Organization |
308 |
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Managerial Impact |
309 |
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Research Methods |
310 |
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Final Thoughts |
312 |
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References |
313 |
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