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Agent-Based Modelling in Economics
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Agent-Based Modelling in Economics
von: Lynne Hamill, Nigel Gilbert
Wiley, 2015
ISBN: 9781118945513
256 Seiten, Download: 6841 KB
 
Format:  PDF
geeignet für: Apple iPad, Android Tablet PC's Online-Lesen PC, MAC, Laptop

Typ: A (einfacher Zugriff)

 

 
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Inhaltsverzeichnis

  Title Page 5  
  Copyright Page 6  
  Contents 7  
  Preface 10  
  Copyright notices 11  
  Chapter 1 Why agent-based modelling is useful for economists 13  
     1.1 Introduction 13  
     1.2 A very brief history of economic modelling 13  
        Traditional macroeconomic models 14  
        Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models 14  
        Complexity economics 14  
        The impact of the 2008 economic crisis 15  
     1.3 What is ABM? 16  
     1.4 The three themes of this book 17  
        Heterogeneity 17  
        Dynamics 17  
        Interactions 18  
     1.5 Details of chapters 18  
        Chapter 2: Starting agent-based modelling 18  
        Chapter 3: Heterogeneous demand 18  
        Chapter 4: Social demand 19  
        Chapter 5: Benefits of barter 19  
        Chapter 6: The market 19  
        Chapter 7: Labour market 19  
        Chapter 8: International trade 20  
        Chapter 9: Banking 20  
        Chapter 10: Tragedy of the commons 20  
        Chapter 11: Summary and conclusions 20  
        The models 20  
     References 21  
  Chapter 2 Starting agent-based modelling 23  
     2.1 Introduction 23  
     2.2 A simple market: the basic model 24  
     2.3 The basic framework 25  
     2.4 Enhancing the basic model: adding prices 30  
     2.5 Enhancing the model: selecting traders 33  
     2.6 Final enhancement: more economically rational agents 35  
     2.7 Running experiments 37  
     2.8 Discussion 38  
     Appendix 2.A The example model: full version 39  
     References 40  
  Chapter 3 Heterogeneous demand 41  
     3.1 Introduction 41  
     3.2 Modelling basic consumer demand theory 42  
        Distributing budgets 44  
        Giving preferences to households 46  
     3.3 Practical demand modelling 51  
     3.4 Discussion 55  
     Appendix 3.A How to do it 58  
        Budget distribution 58  
        Utility function-based demand model 59  
        Practical demand model 60  
     References 64  
  Chapter 4 Social demand 65  
     4.1 Introduction 65  
     4.2 Social networks 65  
     4.3 Threshold models 68  
        Infection models 71  
        Influence models 71  
     4.4 Adoption of innovative products 74  
     4.5 Case study: household adoption of fixed-line phones in Britain 76  
        Modelling demographic changes 76  
        Modelling income 76  
        An income-only model 78  
        Modelling network effects 79  
     4.6 Discussion 82  
     Appendix 4.A How to do it 82  
        Social circles model 82  
        Threshold model 84  
        Phone adoption model 86  
     References 90  
  Chapter 5 Benefits of barter 92  
     5.1 Introduction 92  
     5.2 One-to-one barter 93  
        The Edgeworth Box 95  
        Dynamics of the Edgeworth Box 96  
     5.3 Red Cross parcels 100  
        Introducing shortages 106  
     5.4 Discussion 108  
     Appendix 5.A How to do it 109  
        Edgeworth Box game 109  
        Edgeworth Box random model 110  
        Red Cross parcels model 112  
     References 116  
  Chapter 6 The market 117  
     6.1 Introduction 117  
     6.2 Cournot–Nash model 117  
        Introduction 117  
        The agent-based model 118  
     6.3 Market model 120  
        Introduction 120  
        Consumers 124  
        Shops 125  
        Results 129  
     6.4 Digital world model 129  
        Introduction 129  
        Sellers 131  
        Consumers 132  
        Results 132  
     6.5 Discussion 136  
     Appendix 6.A How to do it 137  
        The Cournot–Nash model 137  
        Shops model 139  
        Digital world model 141  
     References 143  
  Chapter 7 Labour market 144  
     7.1 Introduction 144  
        The labour force 144  
        Employers 151  
        Summary 154  
     7.2 A simple labour market model 154  
        Stage 1: Wages 154  
        Stage 2: Job search 155  
        Stage 3: The Guildford labour market 160  
        Results 162  
     7.3 Discussion 163  
     Appendix 7.A How to do it : 167  
        Wage distribution model 167  
        Things to try using the wage distribution model 167  
        Job search model 169  
        Things to try using the job search model 169  
        Guildford labour market model 171  
     References 173  
  Chapter 8 International trade 175  
     8.1 Introduction 175  
        Definition of exchange rates 175  
        Nominal exchange rates 175  
        Effective exchange rates 176  
        Real exchange rates 177  
        Purchasing power parity 178  
        Interest rate parity 178  
        Exchange rate regimes 180  
        The experience of the British pound, the US dollar and the euro 182  
     8.2 Models 184  
        Introduction 184  
        Assumptions 185  
        Inflation 186  
        Depreciation 191  
        Exogenous drop in demand for exports 191  
        Fiscal change 194  
     8.3 Discussion 195  
     Appendix 8.A How to do it 197  
        International trade model 197  
     References 199  
  Chapter 9 Banking 201  
     9.1 Introduction 201  
        Fractional reserve banking 201  
        Banking crises and the regulation of banks 204  
        A simple example 208  
     9.2 The banking model 210  
        A basic example 210  
        Introducing the capital adequacy ratio target 214  
        Affordability and different types of loans 214  
        Adding interest 215  
        A shock to the system 216  
     9.3 Discussion 218  
     Appendix 9.A How to do it 221  
        Banking model 221  
        Things to try 222  
     References 224  
  Chapter 10 Tragedy of the commons 226  
     10.1 Introduction 226  
        Economic analysis 227  
     10.2 Model 230  
        The carrying capacity of the meadow 230  
        Managing the meadow 232  
     10.3 Discussion 237  
     Appendix: 10.A How to do it: : 240  
        Carrying capacity model 240  
        Meadow management model 242  
     References 244  
  Chapter 11 Summary and conclusions 246  
     11.1 Introduction 246  
     11.2 The models 246  
     11.3 What makes a good model? 249  
     11.4 Pros and cons of ABM 250  
     References 251  
     Further reading and resources 252  
  Index 254  
  EULA 259  


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